NSSL/SPC Spring Forecasting Experiment Blog: We've Moved!

Wednesday, February 28, 2018

We've Moved!

Hi everyone! As a part of a revamp of the Spring Forecasting Experiment web tools, we have decided to move the blog over to the NSSL blog page. You can now find us at: https://blog.nssl.noaa.gov/efp/. Any new posts, including coverage of our upcoming SFE 2018, will be posted there. And trust me when I say this upcoming Spring Forecasting Experiment has some fun things in the works! The organizational crunch time is in full swing, and we're pretty excited about what we have upcoming this year. So stay tuned!

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About the NSSL Spring Experiment

The NOAA HWT Spring Forecasting Experiment is a yearly experiment that investigates the use of convection-allowing model forecasts as guidance for the prediction of severe convective weather. A variety of model output is examined and evaluated daily during the experiment and experimental severe weather forecasts are created and verified. The variety of model output allows us to explore different types of guidance, including products derived from both ensembles and deterministic forecasts.

The 2018 Spring Forecasting Experiment will be held from April 30th through June 1st in the HWT facility at the National Weather Center in Norman. The Experiment is scheduled to run Monday through Friday from 8am to 4pm. The Experiment will continue the focus on probabilistic forecast generation over shorter time periods than current Storm Prediction Center operational products. A major effort has been made to coordinate convection-allowing ensemble configurations between contributing agencies, resulting in a Community Leveraged Unified Ensemble (CLUE) containing 81 members with 3 km grid spacing. This ensemble will be used heavily in the forecast process and be used in verification exercises to compare different ensemble design strategies. More information about the unique CLUE members can be found in the 2017 Operations Plan.